FNUS75 KGJT 102037
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
237 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1412 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME WILL REMAIN OVER THE
BURN AREA IN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH MONDAY. SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60%) UNTIL 1600...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1600...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN INCREASING TO
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000 THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN VARIABLE
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...BETH JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110710.BUCK_.01/GJT