FNUS72 KILM 100930
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
530 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0526 EDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT OVER NORTH CAROLINA WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH CAROLINA
TODAY...DISSIPATING BY EARLY MONDAY. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIRMASS MAY BUILD SOUTHWARD LATE IN THE WEEK WITH THE PASSAGE
OF A COLD FRONT.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    3300 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX LVORI...........7.
MAX ADI.............44.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............8      12     29     30     39     35
WEATHER COV.........AREAS
WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................76     75     81     87     90     91
RH..................94     93     75     61     52     49
20 FT WIND..........NE 3   NE 4   E 5    E 6    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     10     10
LVORI...............7      6      3      1      1      1
ADI.................0      4      6      44     40     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........8.
MAX ADI.............29.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............32     25     33     32     24     28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................90     86     81     77     74     72
RH..................52     62     75     86     92     96
20 FT WIND..........E 5    SE 4   SE 5   SE 4   SE 3   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      10     5      5      5
LVORI...............2      2      3      5      6      8
ADI.................29     27     27     5      4      4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX LVORI...........9.
MAX ADI.............17.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............31     36     37     38     39     40
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................72     74     82     89     92     93
RH..................97     92     67     51     46     44
20 FT WIND..........SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5                                  5
LVORI...............9      6      3      2      2      2
ADI.................3      2      2      15     11     11

$$
FORECASTER...KREITNER
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110710.SIMMO.01/ILM