FNUS72 KILM 110944 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 544 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0527 EDT ON JULY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK AND DIFFUSE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DISSOLVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS TODAY. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK...BRINGING HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY. THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY EARLY IN THE WEEK. A GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD LATE IN THE WEEK WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5 MPH. MAX LVORI...........9. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............59 59 31 22 21 21 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................71 76 83 89 92 92 RH..................100 86 68 55 50 46 20 FT WIND..........SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 1 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 LVORI...............9 6 3 2 1 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-800 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............22 22 22 21 21 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................89 84 81 78 77 76 RH..................50 61 70 78 85 89 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 4 S 3 S 2 SW 2 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............21 21 23 27 29 35 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 78 86 94 97 98 RH..................93 84 62 49 44 43 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 W 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 10 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...RAN REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110711.SIMMO.01/ILM