FNUS72 KILM 111850 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 250 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1442 EDT ON JULY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT OVER SOUTH CAROLINA WILL GIVE WAY TO BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE OVERNIGHT...ESTABLISHING A SOUTHWEST FLOW THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-WEEK. SMOKE OR FOG WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD OR DENSE TONIGHT AS LAST NIGHT. OPPRESSIVE HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... WITH ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT...WITH A SLIGHTLY COOLER EASTERLY FLOW TO FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............29. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............15 22 20 19 17 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................92 88 82 78 77 75 RH..................47 57 68 79 87 94 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 5 6 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH. MAX LVORI...........7. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 31 32 32 33 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................75 78 85 92 96 98 RH..................96 87 68 53 48 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............7 5 3 1 1 1 ADI.................6 6 8 50 45 59 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. MAX LVORI...........7. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............35 36 40 47 52 51 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................97 92 85 81 79 78 RH..................48 58 72 84 90 95 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 5 LVORI...............1 2 3 4 7 6 ADI.................58 12 9 8 0 8 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX LVORI...........6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............50 49 50 52 53 58 WEATHER COV......... SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................78 80 89 96 99 99 RH..................95 88 64 48 42 44 20 FT WIND..........W 3 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............6 6 3 1 1 1 ADI.................8 2 5 46 35 47 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110711.SIMMO.02/ILM