FNUS72 KILM 120953
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER RD...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
553 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0531 EDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE INTO THE AREA FROM THE EAST TODAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY AND MOVE SLOWLY
THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RIDGE IN FROM THE NORTH INTO THE WEEKEND WHILE THE FRONT IS
STALLED TO THE SOUTH.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE BUT
THERE IS A SOUTHWESTERLY 15 TO 20 MPH WIND MAX BELOW 2000 FEET ALONG THE
COAST THAT WILL MIX OUT AFTER THE INVERSION BURNS OFF THIS MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN
                    THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............11     33     49     50     32     33
WEATHER COV.........AREAS  AREAS  AREAS                S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP................76     80     83     88     93     95
RH..................95     85     66     54     51     50
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   SW 5   SW 7   SW 10  SW 11  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     15     15     15
LVORI...............6      5      3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........5.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............35     36     37     39     41     43
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................93     87     84     81     80     79
RH..................56     67     75     80     83     88
20 FT WIND..........SW 7   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10     10     10
LVORI...............1      1      3      4      4      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............44     46     48     51     53     57
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................78     80     88     94     96     96
RH..................94     88     66     54     50     51
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 5    W 4    W 4    W 4    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5      5      5      5
LVORI...............6      5      3      2      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...RAN
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110712.JUNIP.01/ILM