FNUS72 KILM 121855 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 255 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1423 EDT ON JULY 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... HOT AND HUMID SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS THAT DEVELOP INLAND TO AFFECT THE FIRE SITE. OPPRESSIVE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AS BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES INTO THE CAROLINAS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL EASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND RAIN CHANCES WILL IMPROVE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS AN EASTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............34 35 37 39 41 43 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP................95 90 87 84 82 80 RH..................53 63 69 75 79 84 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 5 LVORI...............1 2 3 3 4 5 ADI.................54 10 6 5 7 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 34 41 49 56 59 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................81 83 90 95 98 98 RH..................84 80 58 46 41 41 20 FT WIND..........NW 2 NW 2 NW 3 NW 4 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 2 2 1 1 ADI.................3 9 17 32 44 47 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............34. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 68 71 75 78 77 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................95 88 83 80 78 76 RH..................48 61 71 78 83 88 20 FT WIND..........W 4 W 3 NW 3 NW 2 NW 3 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 6 6 ADI.................34 5 1 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............74 73 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 77 83 88 91 91 RH..................87 81 67 56 52 52 20 FT WIND..........N 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 10 10 LVORI...............5 3 3 1 1 1 ADI.................5 20 39 50 51 44 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110712.SIMMO.02/ILM