FNUS76 KMFR 121323
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE INVESTIGATOR...LAKEVIEW RANGER DISTRICT USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
623 AM PDT TUE JUL 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
OREGON TODAY. THIS WILL BRING CUMULUS BUILDUPS THIS AFTERNOON THEN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. INSTABILITY
WILL BE GREATEST NORTH AND EAST OF THE SITE...OVER NORTHEAST LAKE COUNTY.
ACTIVITY WILL TAPER TO ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE RAINFALL AMOUNT SHOULD BE A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH BUT COULD
BE HIGHER IF A THUNDERSTORM PASSES OVER THE AREA. INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE
ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE FOCUS OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING VEERING
                    TO NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...JOEL DELGADO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110712.FIREI.01/MFR