FNUS75 KTWC 121330 FWSTWC SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 630 AM MST TUE JUL 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0622 MST ON JULY 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING OVER THE FIRE AREA WITH THE ACTIVITY BECOMING SCATTERED AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. EXPECT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY. THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE ON WEDNESDAY AS A PACIFIC TROUGH PUSHES MOISTURE TO THE EAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 TO 87 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY........31 TO 36 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PCT UNTIL 1200...THEN 40 PCT. HAINES INDEX........2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 DEGS. MAX HUMIDITY........66 TO 71 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................4. CHANCE OF RAIN......40 PCT UNTIL 2400...THEN 10 PCT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84 TO 89 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY........26 TO 31 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2. CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PCT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. $$ FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER REQUESTED BY...GEOFF WALLIN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110712.HORSE.01/TWC