FNUS72 KILM 131902 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 302 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1417 EDT ON JULY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE SANDHILLS MAY IMPACT THE FIRE SITE BY EARLY EVENING. THERE IS ONLY A SMALL CHANCE OF RAINFALL DIRECTLY AFFECTING THE FIRE...BUT GUSTY AND SHIFTING WINDS ARE MORE LIKELY IF A STORM PASSES NEAR THE FIRE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL EASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS AN EASTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. WARM TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............52 59 64 71 76 70 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................96 92 87 83 81 79 RH..................41 49 60 70 74 79 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 2 W 2 NW 3 N 3 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 1 3 3 4 4 ADI.................37 34 5 4 0 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............50. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............63 58 57 56 56 52 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 78 82 86 88 88 RH..................82 79 69 60 55 53 20 FT WIND..........NE 4 NE 3 NE 5 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............4 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................15 11 20 40 50 37 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............45. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............46 41 41 41 41 42 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................86 81 77 74 72 70 RH..................57 68 80 89 93 94 20 FT WIND..........E 6 E 5 E 4 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 5 6 6 ADI.................45 35 36 10 9 7 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............44 45 51 58 63 61 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................70 72 76 81 84 85 RH..................92 90 79 66 57 54 20 FT WIND..........NE 4 NE 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............6 5 3 3 1 1 ADI.................9 9 20 37 49 38 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110713.SIMMO.02/ILM