FNUS74 KLZK 131324
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK 8G...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
824 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST TODAY...AS
AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE STATE. RAIN CHANCES AND
ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES LOWER
TODAY...BUT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 105 DEGREES. RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY...BEFORE THE HIGH STRENGTHEN
OVER THE REGION AGAIN...WITH HOT TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE
FORECAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........92 AT IGNITION...MAX 96.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                       2 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6600 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............92  94  95  95  95  94
RH..............49  46  45  45  45  46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   3   3   3   3
MIX HGT (FT)...BECOMING 6600 FT MSL
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   3   3   3   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  40  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 76.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
TEMP............94  92  89  86  84  83  82  81  80  80  79  78
RH..............48  51  57  62  65  66  67  69  72  74  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30

.THURSDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...61
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110713.MUDCR.01/LZK