FNUS74 KEPZ 141705
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PASS...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1105 AM MDT THU JUL 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1105 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER CONDITIONS FROM ARIZ HAVE MOVED EASTWARD AND PREVAIL WEST
OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO
THE WEEKEND. THERE STILL IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SOME ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING MAINLY OVER THE HIGHEST
TERRAIN. THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WHICH HAD BEEN EAST OF OUR REGION
IS STARTING TO BUILD BACK OVER US AND THIS IN TURN WILL CUT OFF
MOST OF THE TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FLOWING INTO OUR AREA. THERE
WILL ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE FOR A FEW AFTN AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
AND THOSE WILL BE INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS BY THE WEEKEND.
THE HAINES INDEX WILL RUN 5 TODAY AND 4 ON FRIDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 KNOTS. VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT EARLY EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600-11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS. EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110714.PASS_.01/EPZ