FNUS72 KILM 140955
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
555 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0524 EDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE CAROLINAS TODAY. THE HEAT
AND HUMIDITY WILL EASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS AN
EASTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. WARM TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY
WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST 14 TO 16 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........4.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............54     55     55     55     55     47
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................71     75     81     86     88     88
RH..................100    86     70     57     52     51
20 FT WIND..........N 5    NE 6   NE 9   NE 10  E 7    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     15     10
LVORI...............4      4      3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL AFTER
                    SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............44     41     41     41     41     42
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................85     79     75     73     71     70
RH..................56     68     78     85     90     94
20 FT WIND..........E 5    E 5    E 4    NE 4   NE 4   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5      5      5      10
LVORI...............1      3      3      5      6      6

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 15 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............44     45     47     49     51     49
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................69     70     77     82     84     85
RH..................99     90     79     66     57     54
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   NE 4   E 5    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      10     10     10     10
LVORI...............6      5      3      3      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...RAN
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110714.SIMMO.01/ILM