FNUS72 KMLB 141257
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR KISSIMMEE PRAIRIE KP25...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
857 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS SOUTH OF THE AREA
TODAY WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON
BETWEEN THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WITH GREATEST
COVERAGE EXPECTED TOWARD MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS FROM VARIABLE DIRECTIONS UP TO 40 MPH.
ALSO STEERING FLOW WILL REMAIN WEAK SO STORMS WILL EXHIBIT SLOW
MOTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............86  88  90  92  93  93  92  89  85  81  80  79
RH..............68  63  58  52  51  52  54  59  67  77  79  82
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.                                        5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNSET...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110714.KISSI.01/MLB