FNUS74 KEPZ 151821
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JACK...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1221 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1128 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AIR IS IN PLACE WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE.
GENERALLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FIVE
OR SIX DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE AREA. A
DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST SOUTH OF THE HIGH COULD BRING A VERY
SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
ALSO AFTER ABOUT WEDNESDAY OF  NEXT WEEK...SURFACE MOISTURE
MAY START TO RETURN AGAIN TO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS WITH AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THE HAINES INDEX WILL GENERALLY RUN 4-5 FRIDAY AND 3 ON SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY (25-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VRBL TO ENE-ESE 5 - 10 MPH
                     SHOULD SIFT TO SSW IN THE AFTN 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100-10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 KNOTS. VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NW 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200-11600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS. EXCELLENT.



$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110715.JACK_.02/EPZ