FNUS72 KILM 150938 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 538 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0515 EDT ON JULY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION FROM THE WEST. A MORE TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN IS EXPECTED MID THROUGH LATE WEEK...AS BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE INTERACTS WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE INLAND...PROVIDING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS QUESTIONABLE. MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 2200 FEET. DIRECTION EAST-NORTHEAST...SPEED 30 MPH. AN UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY MID MORNING. .TODAY... MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............58. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............43 47 43 44 49 46 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................68 71 77 82 85 86 RH..................81 78 63 50 43 42 20 FT WIND..........NE 5 NE 6 E 7 E 7 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............4 4 2 1 1 1 ADI.................9 17 17 49 58 58 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............42. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 36 36 38 44 50 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 81 75 71 69 67 RH..................46 55 67 77 83 88 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 SE 7 SE 6 SE 5 E 4 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 5 5 LVORI...............1 2 3 4 5 6 ADI.................42 14 10 4 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............54. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............55 50 50 50 49 45 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................67 69 77 83 84 85 RH..................90 86 62 49 45 45 20 FT WIND..........NE 4 E 4 E 6 E 6 E 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 10 15 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 1 1 ADI.................5 7 9 48 54 54 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110715.SIMMO.01/ILM