FNUS72 KILM 151902
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
302 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1452 EDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND WEST WILL BRING SEASONABLE TEMPERATURE
AND SLIGHTLY LOW DEWPOINTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A MORE TYPICAL SUMMER
PATTERN IS EXPECTED MID THROUGH LATE WEEK...AS BERMUDA HIGH
PRESSURE RETURNS. UNSEASONABLY HOT WEATHER MAY RETURN FRIDAY AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.


A 15-20 MPH LOW LEVEL JET BETWEEN 1500 AND 2000 FT WILL RETURN
THIS EVENING AND LAST THROUGH THE NIGHT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 6
                    MPH LATE.
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............42.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............36     36     37     39     41     41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................84     78     74     71     69     68
RH..................48     58     68     75     79     85
20 FT WIND..........SE 7   SE 6   E 6    E 5    E 4    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10     5      5
LVORI...............1      2      3      4      5      5
ADI.................42     10     10     7      5      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    3600 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............58.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............40     35     31     34     45     38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................68     69     76     82     84     85
RH..................88     85     67     54     49     47
20 FT WIND..........E 4    NE 5   E 6    E 7    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     15     15     15     15
LVORI...............6      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.................3      16     16     43     51     51

$$
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110715.SIMMO.02/ILM