FNUS74 KLZK 152005 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDDY MTN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 305 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1446 CDT ON JULY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT THE BURN SITE...LIGHT NE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ROUGHLY 7-8 PM THIS EVENING. AFTERWARD WINDS SHOULD BECOME NEAR CALM. SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM THIS AFTERNOON DOES NOT GIVE MUCH CONFIDENCE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT THERE REMAINS ABOUT A 15-20 PERCENT CHANCE ONE COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE. IT WOULD BE SHORT LIVED IF ONE DID DEVELOP AND AFTER SUNSET THE CHANCES WILL DIMINISH IN RAPID FASHION. OVERNIGHT...RH VALUES SHOULD BE RECOVER NICELY WITH MAX RH VALUES IN THE UPPER 80S EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE CALM AND CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE MINIMAL. TOMORROW...CONDITIONS WILL BE MUCH THE SAME AS TODAY. WINDS WILL BE BE LIGHT EASTERLY IN THE MORNING. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TOMORROW...GENERALLY LESS THAN 5-7 MPH...BUT DIRECTIONS WILL LIKELY BECOME VARIABLE DURING THE DAY. AFTERNOON CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TOMORROW WITH A 15-20 PERCENT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER OR TSTM. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........94 AT REQUEST...MAX 96. RH..................52 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 48 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............94 95 96 96 RH..............52 51 50 52 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 76. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....S CHC PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG TEMP............94 89 84 82 80 79 RH..............52 60 71 77 79 81 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 4 E 3 E 3 E 3 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.8 5 3 3 3 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 2 2 1 EYE LVL WND GST.5 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 8 7 6 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 96. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 81 88 93 95 95 RH..............82 73 59 52 48 47 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 3 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 8 9 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...AOICC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110715.MUDDY.01/LZK