FNUS76 KMFR 161043
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCORPION COMPLEX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
343 AM PDT SAT JUL 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2236 PDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS GRADUALLY MOVING INLAND
AND EAST OF THE CASCADES TODAY...THEN WILL WEAKEN OVER THE AREA
BY THIS EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP VERY LATE IN THE DAY INTO THE EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH REMAINS JUST OFF THE COAST ON SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. BREEZY AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE BURN AREA.

.TODAY...


SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 WITH
                    GUSTS OF 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH
                     IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS OF 10 TO 14 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-6000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING. ALSO GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH
                     IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN MACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110715.SCORP.01/MFR