FNUS75 KRIW 151741
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLD SPRINGS...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1141 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1104 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ALONG
WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RH'S IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS.
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL RESULT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE AREA...THEN DRY ON SATURDAY. THE MONSOON
BEGINS TO RETURN SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........41-43 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH AND GUSTY SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 4-7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (108300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (5500 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH AND GUSTY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800-11800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (68100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (183200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...NEIGHBORS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110715.COLDS.01/RIW