FNUS75 KBOU 162001 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR KELSO RIDGE RESCU...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 200 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOISTURE LEVELS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE STORMS WILL DIMINISH BY LATER THIS EVENING...BUT AN ISOLATED STORM IS STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-65. MIN HUMIDITY........29-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42. MAX HUMIDITY........65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 1600-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9400-10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR KELSO RIDGERESCU. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/16-13 71 30 9 57 29 SW 9 16 3 4 SW28 7648 SW18 125424 V 07/16-14 71 30 9 57 30 SW10 16 3 4 SW26 8173 SW18 129329 V 07/16-15 79 30 9 58 31 SW10 16 3 4 SW26 8698 SW17 133233 V 07/16-16 79 30 9 58 32 SW10 17 3 4 SW28 8237 SW17 123979 V 07/16-17 79 30 9 57 34 S10 17 4 4 SW29 7775 S17 114725 V 07/16-18 70 30 9 57 37 S10 16 4 4 SW31 7314 S16 105471 V 07/16-19 70 30 9 55 40 S 9 15 4 4 SW32 4987 S14 71132 G 07/16-20 70 30 9 53 44 S 9 14 3 4 SW33 2660 S12 36793 P 07/16-21 70 30 9 50 50 S 8 13 3 4 SW35 334 S 8 2454 P 07/16-22 70 30 9 48 53 S 8 8 3 4 SW33 286 S 8 2098 P 07/16-23 70 30 9 48 54 S 8 8 3 4 SW33 238 S 8 1742 P 07/17-00 37 10 2 46 56 S 8 13 3 2 SW31 190 S 8 1386 P 07/17-01 37 10 2 45 59 S 9 15 3 2 SW30 184 S10 1612 P 07/17-02 37 10 2 45 62 S12 18 3 2 SW29 179 S12 1837 P 07/17-03 37 0 0 44 65 S13 21 3 1 SW28 174 S14 2063 P 07/17-04 37 0 0 43 65 S14 22 3 1 SW25 169 S14 1959 P 07/17-05 37 0 0 43 64 S14 22 3 1 S22 165 S13 1855 P 07/17-06 51 10 2 43 63 S13 21 3 2 S20 161 S13 1751 P 07/17-07 51 10 2 45 62 SW10 17 3 2 S18 867 SW10 5910 P 07/17-08 51 10 2 48 57 SW 8 13 4 2 S18 1574 SW 9 10068 P 07/17-09 51 10 2 52 51 W 6 6 4 2 S18 2280 SW 7 14227 P 07/17-10 51 10 2 55 42 SW 5 5 4 2 S20 5008 SW 8 41788 F 07/17-11 51 10 2 58 34 S 3 3 3 2 S21 7736 S 9 69348 G 07/17-12 77 40 18 59 31 SE 3 3 3 4 S23 10464 SE10 96909 G 07/17-13 77 40 18 60 31 SE 3 3 3 4 S25 10605 S12 108399 V 07/17-14 77 40 18 61 33 E 5 5 4 4 S28 10745 S13 119889 V 07/17-15 77 40 18 61 36 E 7 7 4 4 S29 10886 S14 131380 V 07/17-16 77 40 18 61 38 SE10 17 4 4 S28 8891 S15 109865 V 07/17-17 77 40 18 61 40 SE14 23 4 4 S25 6896 S15 88350 G 07/17-18 77 40 18 56 49 SE17 28 4 4 S18 6550 S15 85874 G 07/17-19 77 40 18 52 56 S16 26 4 4 S18 4456 S15 58335 F 07/17-20 77 40 18 50 61 S16 25 3 4 S18 2363 S14 30796 P 07/17-21 77 40 18 48 66 S16 25 3 4 S18 269 S14 3256 P 07/17-22 77 40 18 45 74 S17 28 3 4 S20 270 S15 3461 P 07/17-23 77 40 18 42 82 S18 30 4 4 S21 271 S16 3665 P 07/18-00 44 0 0 41 84 S20 31 4 1 S22 272 S16 3870 P 07/18-01 44 0 0 42 81 S18 30 4 1 S22 238 S15 3217 P 07/18-02 44 0 0 41 83 S16 26 4 1 S22 204 S14 2565 P 07/18-03 44 0 0 42 82 SW14 22 4 1 S21 169 SW13 1913 P 07/18-04 44 0 0 41 82 SW10 10 4 1 S21 164 SW10 1529 P 07/18-05 44 0 0 41 82 SW 7 7 4 1 S20 159 SW 8 1146 P 07/18-06 53 10 2 41 83 SW 3 3 4 2 S20 154 SW 6 762 P 07/18-07 53 10 2 43 77 W 2 2 4 2 S21 535 W 5 1606 P 07/18-08 53 10 2 45 70 N 2 2 4 2 SE22 917 NW 3 2450 P 07/18-09 53 10 2 49 60 N 3 3 4 2 SE23 1298 N 3 3294 P 07/18-10 53 10 2 52 54 NE 5 5 4 2 SE23 3274 NE 5 20579 P 07/18-11 53 10 2 56 47 E 7 7 3 2 SE23 5250 E 7 37864 P 07/18-12 77 40 18 58 45 E 8 8 3 4 SE23 7226 SE 9 55149 F 07/18-13 77 40 18 58 46 E10 10 3 4 SE24 7377 SE10 65286 G 07/18-14 77 40 18 59 45 SE12 12 3 4 S24 7527 SE12 75423 G 07/18-15 77 40 18 60 44 SE12 18 3 4 S24 7677 SE13 85559 G 07/18-16 77 40 18 60 45 E 9 9 3 4 S24 6918 SE12 72454 G 07/18-17 77 40 18 57 53 E 7 7 4 4 S24 6159 SE10 59348 F 07/18-18 77 40 18 55 58 E 5 5 4 4 S23 5400 SE10 46242 F 07/18-19 77 40 18 52 65 E 3 3 4 4 S23 3697 SE 8 31188 P 07/18-20 77 40 18 49 69 E 5 5 3 4 S23 1995 SE 6 16133 P 07/18-21 77 40 18 47 72 E 5 5 3 4 S22 292 SE 5 1079 P 07/18-22 77 40 18 44 78 SE 5 5 3 4 S22 292 SE 6 1343 P 07/18-23 77 40 18 42 84 S 6 6 3 4 S21 292 S 7 1608 P 07/19-00 56 0 0 41 85 S 6 6 3 1 S21 291 S 7 1873 P 07/19-01 56 0 0 42 81 S 6 6 3 1 S21 253 S 7 1585 P 07/19-02 56 0 0 41 82 SW 7 7 3 1 S21 215 SW 7 1296 P 07/19-03 56 0 0 41 81 SW 7 7 3 1 S21 177 SW 7 1008 P 07/19-04 56 0 0 41 81 SW 7 7 3 1 S21 176 SW 7 970 P 07/19-05 56 0 0 41 81 SW 7 7 4 1 S21 174 W 6 932 P 07/19-06 56 0 0 41 84 W 7 7 4 1 S21 173 W 6 893 P 07/19-07 56 0 0 42 83 W 7 7 1 07/19-08 56 0 0 44 80 W 8 8 1 07/19-09 56 0 0 46 75 W 8 8 1 07/19-10 56 0 0 48 72 W 8 8 1 07/19-11 56 0 0 51 68 W 8 8 1 07/19-12 65 30 9 52 67 W 8 8 4 07/19-13 65 30 9 52 68 W 8 8 4 07/19-14 65 30 9 53 65 W 8 8 4 07/19-15 65 30 9 54 62 W 8 8 4 07/19-16 65 30 9 54 61 W 8 8 4 07/19-17 65 30 9 52 64 W 7 7 4 07/19-18 65 30 9 53 60 W 7 7 4 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...MAJOR ALBERS REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110716.KELSO.01/BOU