FNUS75 KGJT 161626
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARBLE CANYON...MOAB FIRE CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1026 AM MDT SAT JUL 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0954 MDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR THE COLORADO AND UTAH BORDER
THIS MORNING...BUT IS MAINLY LIMITED TO THE MID LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.
THIS WILL LEAD MAINLY TO VIRGA TODAY...THOUGH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
CAN BE RULED OUT IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WITH FAIRLY DRY LOW LAYERS...GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THESE
STORMS. MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AND THEREFORE
EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORM COVERAGE TO ALSO INCREASE. WINDS SHOULD
GENERALLY BE SOUTH DURING THE DAY...WITH TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS TO THE
EAST EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH LATE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 94 F BY 3 PM MDT.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 10% BY 3 PM MDT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AT 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 60 F NEAR SUNRISE.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 50% AROUND SUNRISE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93 F BY 3 PM MDT.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 20% BY 3 PM MDT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MM15 HWY128 IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110716.MARBL.01/GJT