FNUS72 KILM 161015
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
615 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0609 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE EASTERLY
WINDS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK...AS AN UPPER RIDGE
AMPLIFIES OVER THE REGION.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7000-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........4.
MAX ADI.............63.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............30     38     49     55     58     51
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................70     73     80     84     84     84
RH..................77     73     57     50     50     50
20 FT WIND..........E 4    E 5    E 7    E 9    E 9    SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     15     16     17     13
LVORI...............4      3      2      1      1      1
ADI.................4      9      17     60     63     63

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800-1000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............75.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............43     26     19     17     18     25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................82     78     73     69     68     67
RH..................54     65     79     88     91     92
20 FT WIND..........SE 8   SE 6   E 5    E 3    NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     5      5      5
LVORI...............1      3      4      6      6      6
ADI.................55     14     14     4      3      3

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300-7400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............66.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............28     30     37     45     52     43
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................67     71     80     84     85     85
RH..................93     85     62     52     51     52
20 FT WIND..........E 3    NE 4   E 5    E 6    E 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     15     15
LVORI...............6      5      3      1      1      1
ADI.................3      5      7      63     49     66

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...TIM HOWELL  FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110716.JUNIP.03/ILM