FNUS74 KLCH 161127 FWSLCH SPOT FORECAST FOR TOURBE...USF&WS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 627 AM CDT SAT JUL 16 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A VERY MOIST AIR MASS...ALONG WITH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES...WILL ALLOW FOR A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. EXPECT SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO BE IN THE WILDFIRE AREA THROUGH 10 AM...THEN A BREAK AS THE ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES...BEFORE RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER 2 PM. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS TO 25 MPH...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 1/2 INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSION....FAIR IN THE MORNING BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........60 62 63 65 67 68 70 70 70 70 70 70 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............79 80 81 85 86 87 87 88 88 88 87 86 RH..............93 93 87 70 68 65 65 63 63 61 63 65 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.6 MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 6 6 7 9 10 10 8 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 7 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSION....POOR. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSION....POOR EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING FAIR IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...RUA REQUESTED BY...GATOR TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110716.TOURB.01/LCH