FNUS76 KMFR 171217
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCORPION COMPLEX...USFS, MODOC N.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
517 AM PDT SUN JUL 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1633 PDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CENTERED OFFSHORE TODAY AND WILL
BRING WITH COOLER THAN NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WELL
AS AGAIN ON MONDAY. A STRONGER LOW WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE COAST
MONDAY SHIFT INLAND AND ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY.
THIS WILL BRING CONTINUED COOLER THAN NORMAL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES. AS THE LOW MOVES INLAND...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY BUT ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
NORTHWEST OF THE BURN AREA. A WARM-UP IS EXPECTED LATE
IN THE WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.... SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL
                     IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 8 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.


$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE JOHNSTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110716.SCORP.01/MFR