FNUS72 KMLB 161329
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRASSEY POND...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
929 AM EDT SAT JUL 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL LEAD TO SEA BREEZE GENERATED STORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR STORMS AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD
BE DURING THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PROPAGATE INLAND.
THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY 30-40 MPH WINDS FROM
MOST ANY DIRECTION BY THAT TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4600 FT AGL
                    MIDDAY AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............81     86     88     87     84     81
RH..............77     65     60     63     70     77
20 FT WIND......CALM   E 3    NE 4   NE 8   NE 8   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............7.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110716.GRASS.01/MLB