FNUS75 KTFX 161459
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RUB FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
859 AM MDT SAT JUL 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0832 MDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THIS MORNING. THESE SHOWERS WILL GENERALLY RESULT IN LIGHT RAIN.
THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND THE AREA INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ON SUNDAY BRINGING DRIER
AND MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZELZER
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS PETERSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110716.ELKRU.01/TFX