FNUS75 KGJT 172042
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST CANYON...SES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
242 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1413 MDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUE TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
NEAR THE BURN SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. GUSTY WINDS AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSING STORMS THROUGH
THE EVENING. ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT...THEN
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AGAIN DURING THE HEATING OF THE AFTERNOON
ON MONDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH AND NO DISTINCT
WIND SHIFT IS ANTICIPATED...UNLESS THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS
MOVE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY MILD
OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUD COVER AND PASSING SHOWERS MAY KEEP WINDS
UP...SLOWING RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....HIGHS NEAR 90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....FALLING TO NEAR 70 BY MIDNIGHT...WITH A LOW
                    NEAR 60 F BY SUNRISE.
MAX HUMIDITY........RECOVERING TO NEAR 50% BY MIDNIGHT WITH A
                    MAX OF 66-71% BY SUNRISE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT
                    BECOMING SOUTH AT AROUND 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80 BY NOON WITH A MAX OF NEAR 88 F BY
                    3 PM MDT.
MIN HUMIDITY........DROPPING TO NEAR 35 PERCENT BY NOON THEN
                    NEAR 25% BY 3 PM MDT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MOAB DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110717.EASTC.01/GJT