FNUS72 KILM 171842
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
242 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1437 EDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN ONSHORE WINDS AND
MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND AND A RETURN TO MORE TYPICAL MID JULY WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK AS A WARM UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
WEST OF THE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
MAX LVORI...........7.
MAX ADI.............17.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............30     26     25     23     21     21
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................86     81     74     70     67     66
RH..................46     57     72     84     90     94
20 FT WIND..........E 3    SE 3   S 4    S 3    S 2    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5
LVORI...............2      2      3      5      6      6
ADI.................17     14     14     4      3      3

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX LVORI...........8.
MAX ADI.............62.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............21     20     25     31     35     33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................65     68     79     88     91     93
RH..................95     93     58     41     36     34
20 FT WIND..........W 1    N 1    N 1    NE 1   E 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5
LVORI...............8      8      3      1      1      1
ADI.................2      1      1      62     51     51

$$
FORECASTER...KREITNER
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110717.SIMMO.02/ILM