FNUS76 KMFR 180051
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCORPION COMPLEX...USFS, MODOC N.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
551 PM PDT SUN JUL 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1535 PDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE CASCADES WESTWARD WHILE GUSTY
WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST SIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOW
PRESSURE STRENGTHENING OFF OF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
AND BUILDING INSTABILITY ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL
CAUSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WEST SIDE.
SIGNIFICANT WETTING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ON THE OREGON WEST
SIDE AND CASCADES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. WEDNESDAY THROUGH
MONDAY A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 17 TO 27 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING 6 TO 12 MPH.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-8300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING 6 TO 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 26 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE JOHNSTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110717.SCORP.01/MFR