FNUS72 KILM 181843 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HORNET FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 243 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1429 EDT ON JULY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED IN THE UPCOMING DAYS AS AN UPPER RIDGE WEST OF THE REGION BUILDS EASTWARD...AND THE BERMUDA SURFACE RIDGE SUPPLIES A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ASIDE FROM THE SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. SW WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM TUESDAY ONWARD ACROSS THE REGION. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............14. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............28 21 20 19 19 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 84 79 75 73 71 RH..................52 58 68 76 81 83 20 FT WIND..........SE 8 S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 5 5 ADI.................11 14 14 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6700-8000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............32. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............26 22 23 24 25 26 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................71 73 84 91 92 92 RH..................85 84 55 44 42 42 20 FT WIND..........W 3 W 3 W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 5 3 1 2 2 ADI.................2 4 6 32 29 29 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............29. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............27 28 35 44 50 55 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................91 86 83 81 80 77 RH..................47 56 63 66 69 78 20 FT WIND..........S 8 S 9 SW 9 SW 6 SW 5 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 10 5 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 3 4 ADI.................29 27 27 15 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............37. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............61 66 64 62 60 60 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 79 88 92 93 92 RH..................83 81 60 52 52 54 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................3 6 6 32 37 37 $$ FORECASTER...KREITNER REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN CALORE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110718.HORNE.01/ILM