FNUS72 KILM 180948 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 548 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0534 EDT ON JULY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT THE JUNIPER ROADS FIRE SITE...LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SE AND INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION BECOMES ESTABLISHED. UNSEASONABLY LOW DEWPOINTS WILL KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES FROM DROPPING BELOW 40 PERCENT DESPITE MAXIMUM TEMPS NEAR 90 TODAY. A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED IN THE UPCOMING DAYS...AS AN UPPER RIDGE WEST OF THE REGION BUILDS EASTWARD...AND THE BERMUDA SURFACE RIDGE SUPPLIES A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ASIDE FROM THE SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. SW WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM TUESDAY ONWARD ACROSS THE REGION. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6500-8000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............56. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............6 6 7 12 27 25 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................63 67 79 86 87 87 RH..................100 92 63 50 46 45 20 FT WIND..........N 2 N 2 NE 3 NE 4 SE 4 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 15 LVORI...............9 6 3 1 1 1 ADI.................2 3 3 37 53 38 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............56. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............23 13 9 6 4 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 78 73 70 70 69 RH..................51 68 82 88 86 85 20 FT WIND..........SE 9 SE 6 S 2 S 0 S 1 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 6 5 5 ADI.................56 19 20 1 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600-7600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............59. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............10 15 20 26 31 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................70 74 84 91 94 95 RH..................84 80 55 43 39 39 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 W 1 W 5 SW 6 SW 5 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 2 1 1 1 ADI.................2 3 3 50 54 54 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...TIM HOWELL FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110718.JUNIP.01/ILM