FNUS72 KILM 180956 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 556 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0538 EDT ON JULY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT THE SIMMONS ROAD FIRE SITE...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED TODAY. THE SEA BREEZE WILL LIKELY NOT MAKE IT INTO SIMMONS FIRE SITE TODAY. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY SYNOPTIC WIND IS EXPECTED LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED IN THE UPCOMING DAYS...AS AN UPPER RIDGE WEST OF THE REGION BUILDS EASTWARD...AND THE BERMUDA SURFACE RIDGE SUPPLIES A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ASIDE FROM THE SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. SW WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM TUESDAY ONWARD ACROSS THE REGION. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7400-9200 FT AGL BY MIDDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON 4 TO 8 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............55. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............6 9 5 9 23 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................66 68 78 86 89 91 RH..................88 84 60 46 41 39 20 FT WIND..........S 2 NW 2 NW 2 N 2 NE 1 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 2 2 ADI.................2 2 2 36 42 28 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............55. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............31 24 12 9 9 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................89 84 78 73 71 69 RH..................43 54 70 82 87 93 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 3 5 6 6 ADI.................55 32 32 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6800-8300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............63. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............5 10 17 27 35 44 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 72 83 93 96 97 RH..................95 92 60 44 39 38 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............7 6 3 1 1 1 ADI.................4 8 8 49 63 63 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...TIM HOWELL FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110718.SIMMO.01/ILM