FNUS72 KILM 182109 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 509 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1427 EDT ON JULY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RETURN IN THE UPCOMING DAYS AS AN UPPER RIDGE WEST OF THE REGION BUILDS EASTWARD...AND THE BERMUDA RIDGE SUPPLIES A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TAKE HOLD BEGINNING TUESDAY...REDIRECTING ONGOING SMOKE PLUMES FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............32. TIME (EDT) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............29 26 26 24 20 17 14 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................89 84 78 73 71 69 68 RH..................41 51 66 81 87 91 95 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 SW 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 5 6 6 6 ADI.................21 21 32 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............34. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............14 14 23 34 46 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................68 70 82 91 95 97 RH..................95 91 60 43 38 37 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 SW 3 W 5 W 6 W 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 10 10 LVORI...............6 6 3 2 2 2 ADI.................4 6 8 32 29 21 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............34. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............69 78 78 78 78 76 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................95 88 81 77 76 74 RH..................40 50 64 75 82 88 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 3 W 2 W 3 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 10 5 LVORI...............1 2 2 4 4 5 ADI.................34 20 26 3 6 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9200-9900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............31. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............74 73 71 68 66 62 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP................74 76 85 93 97 97 RH..................89 80 61 49 45 45 20 FT WIND..........S 3 SW 2 W 2 W 1 NW 1 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............6 5 3 2 1 1 ADI.................3 3 3 21 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...DIGIORGI REQUESTED BY...TIM HOWELL FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110718.SIMMO.02/ILM