FNUS76 KMFR 190059
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCORPION COMPLEX...USDA MODOC NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
559 PM PDT MON JUL 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1557 PDT ON JULY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR THE COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WHILE GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE BURN. THE LOW WILL MOVE INLAND OVERNIGHT
WITH THE FOCUS OF PRECIPITATION MOVING FROM THE CASCADES NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. THE LOW WILL
REACH NORTHEAST OREGON ON TUESDAY WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVER THE CASCADES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS IN
NORTHERN KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A PUSH OF COOLER MARINE AIR ON THE WEST SIDE ON
THURSDAY. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED TO START ON FRIDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3
                    TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700-7600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN MACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110718.SCORP.02/MFR