FNUS72 KMLB 180908
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SSR23...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
508 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JULY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FLOW AROUND TROPICAL STORM BRET LOCATED NEAR
THE BAHAMAS WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA...REDUCING THE
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH AN
ONSHORE MOVING SHOWER AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MAY AFFECT THE
BURN AREA THROUGH THE DAY. THE GRADIENT AROUND THE STORM WILL
BRING INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS OVER
THE BURN AREA BY MID MORNING. SURFACE GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS SUBSIDING AND
BECOMING NORTHERLY AROUND SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............84  84  85  86  86  85  84  84  82  81  80  78
RH..............74  67  67  65  65  67  70  72  74  74  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N
20 FT WIND SPD..13  14  16  17  17  17  17  16  15  13  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  20  15  15  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...EVAN HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110718.SSR23.01/MLB