FNUS75 KPUB 191229
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIAMS CREEK...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
629 AM MDT TUE JUL 19 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAIN RANGES.  INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW WILL
ALLOW THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO LIKELY MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...LIGHTNING AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BURN
SITE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FROM AROUND NOON THROUGH 6 PM.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
TO DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET WITH CLOUDS DIMINISHING THROUGH MORNING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF MONSOON THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY
FOR THE BURN SITE.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL HAVE PASSED OVER THE
REGION BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH MORE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.

SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE POOR THIS MORNING WITH GOOD DISPERSALS FOR
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH POSSIBLY VERY GOOD CONDITIONS IF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DELAYED UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY INCREASING MIXING.
POOR DISPERSALS ARE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT WITH WEAKER FLOW TOMORROW
PRODUCING GOOD DISPERSALS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL
                    AROUND 12 BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST TO WEST 9 10
                    14 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 24 MPH THROUGH THIS
                    AFTERNOON.  OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL
                    BE VARIABLE WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
                    POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH THROUGH MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL
                    1200 TURNING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH THROUGH
                    THE EVENING.  VARIABLE OUTFLOW WINDS WITH
                    GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN EAST AROUND 7
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110718.WILLI.01/PUB