FNUS72 KILM 190954 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 554 AM EDT TUE JUL 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0537 EDT ON JULY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED IN THE UPCOMING DAYS AS AN UPPER RIDGE WEST OF THE REGION BUILDS EASTWARD...AND THE BERMUDA SURFACE RIDGE SUPPLIES A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. SW WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SW WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6200-7300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 11 MPH. MAX LVORI...........10. MAX ADI.............39. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............24 27 30 34 37 38 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................65 67 79 88 92 93 RH..................100 100 71 53 47 47 20 FT WIND..........SW 1 SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 S 8 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 7 12 13 LVORI...............10 9 3 1 2 2 ADI.................2 5 5 36 28 28 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............39. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............39 41 53 70 83 83 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................90 82 75 73 73 73 RH..................53 71 87 94 94 94 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 8 S 5 S 2 SW 1 W 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 5 LVORI...............2 3 4 6 6 6 ADI.................28 31 39 6 8 8 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............27. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............84 84 77 68 62 59 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TEMP................73 75 82 89 91 91 RH..................92 86 71 58 54 56 20 FT WIND..........W 0 SW 2 SW 2 S 3 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 LVORI...............6 5 3 2 2 2 ADI.................4 3 3 14 22 22 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...TIM HOWELL-FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110719.JUNIP.01/ILM