FNUS72 KILM 191912 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 312 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1455 EDT ON JULY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARMING TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED IN THE UPCOMING DAYS AS AN UPPER RIDGE WEST OF THE REGION BUILDS EASTWARD...AND THE BERMUDA SURFACE RIDGE SUPPLIES A STEADY FEED OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. SW WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800-1800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING AROUND 10 MPH LATE. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............22. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............39 41 56 64 72 72 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 83 77 75 75 74 RH..................52 60 72 79 82 86 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 6 S 5 S 4 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 5 10 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 4 4 5 ADI.................17 21 12 9 8 7 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............36. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............75 80 71 66 58 58 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................74 76 82 89 91 91 RH..................86 80 71 58 54 56 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 3 2 2 1 ADI.................6 11 14 20 16 36 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........9. MAX ADI.............23. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............57 54 51 49 46 44 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP................88 82 79 77 77 76 RH..................63 77 86 91 93 97 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 4 5 5 6 7 ADI.................23 15 8 8 6 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........7. MAX ADI.............41. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............42 40 39 40 43 39 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................76 79 84 91 94 94 RH..................96 87 70 54 48 49 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 3 SW 4 S 5 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 10 10 15 LVORI...............7 5 3 2 1 1 ADI.................4 11 19 25 36 31 $$ FORECASTER...KREITNER REQUESTED BY...TIM HOWELL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110719.JUNIP.02/ILM