FNUS72 KMLB 181834
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ECOLOGICAL BURN UNITS...UCF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
234 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SPOT FORECAST FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.
THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL BRET UPON THE AREAS WEATHER WILL BE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
LOOP IS SHOWING DRIER MID LEVEL AIR MASS MOVING DOWN THE PENINSULA
THUS THE 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE BURN AREA ON TUESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL BUILD ACROSS FLORIDA THE
NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. EXPECTING LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT
AND FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST MID MORNING WHILE TRANSPORT
WINDS JUST ABOVE THE EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
WEST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 AT SUNRISE THEN INCERASING TO 26 LATE
                    MORNING AND IN THE AFTERNOON.

LVORI...............3 AROUND SUNRISE THEN 0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...ALAINA BERNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110719.ECOLO.01/MLB