FNUS74 KEPZ 201728
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR JACK...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1128 AM MDT WED JUL 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1052 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA.
MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR FLOWING NORTH INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND
ARIZONA WILL FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THESE WILL BE SLOW MOVING STORMS
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL THAT MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS WILL ALLOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FROM THE MID 30S TO HIGH 40S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 TIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........FAIR (54000 KT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 TIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...THEN NORTHWEST
                    TO NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO AROUND 600 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 KNOTS.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 TIL NOON...THEN 4.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT TIL LATE MORNING...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........POOR (33500 KT-FT).


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110720.JACK_.01/EPZ