FNUS75 KGJT 202138
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
338 PM MDT WED JUL 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1214 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ENTRENCHED
AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTER OF THE U.S. FLATTENS. AS A
RESULT...THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME HAS BEGUN TO TILT...AND
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE A DOWNTURN IS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER SOME STORMS
ARE STILL EXPECTED.

.THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. AT TIMES LESS CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 3-6 MPH. AT TIMES DOMINATED BY THUNDERSTORM
                    OUTFLOW WINDS...VARIABLE 10-15 MPH WITH
                    STRONGER GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS POSSIBLE.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    STORMS MORE NUMEROUS OVER NEARBY HIGHER
                    TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WAGNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110720.CANYO.01/GJT