FNUS75 KABQ 211336
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACHECO...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
736 AM MDT THU JUL 21 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. RAINFALL RATES MAY EXCEED ONE
HALF TO ONE INCH PER HOUR IN THE STRONGER STORMS...POTENTIALLY
LEADING TO FLOODING PROBLEMS OVER BURN SCARS. THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN COVERAGE LATER
THIS EVENING.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0750 MDT 7/21/11
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-77.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 33-38 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                       7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52-55.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 59-64 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-79.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 23-26 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       WEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...17

$$

REQUESTED BY...CHAVEZ
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110721.PACHE.01/ABQ