FNUS72 KILM 211951 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 351 PM EDT THU JUL 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1541 EDT ON JULY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... EXTREMELY HOT AND HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY EVENINGS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD ONLY BE 10-20 PERCENT. A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH WIND SPEEDS AT 1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 25-30 MPH BOTH NIGHTS. THIS WILL PREVENT DEEP SURFACE INVERSIONS FROM DEVELOPING...AND NIGHTTIME SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD BE A LITTLE BETTER THAN IN PREVIOUS NIGHTS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............62. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............39 22 18 15 13 14 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................92 90 85 82 82 81 RH..................58 64 75 81 83 85 20 FT WIND..........SW 8 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 2 4 4 4 4 ADI.................62 15 12 7 7 6 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4500-5700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............46. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 20 34 43 49 52 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE TEMP................81 83 90 95 97 97 RH..................85 82 64 53 51 51 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 6 S 8 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................6 25 42 45 34 37 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............30. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............50 42 31 26 24 26 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................95 88 83 80 79 79 RH..................57 69 80 87 89 91 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 6 S 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 15 10 10 10 LVORI...............2 3 4 5 5 6 ADI.................30 18 11 8 6 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-6600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2200-3600 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6. MAX ADI.............41. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 27 30 34 37 50 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................79 81 88 94 96 96 RH..................90 84 67 56 52 52 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 15 LVORI...............6 4 1 2 1 2 ADI.................6 25 41 27 32 25 $$ FORECASTER...ZOUZIAS REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110721.JUNIP.02/ILM