FNUS73 KUNR 211658
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK FIRE...CAMPBELL COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1058 AM MDT THU JUL 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1033 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TODAY...WITH THE LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS SWITCHING MORE
NORTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
BE AROUND 20 PERCENT TODAY AND TOMORROW.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3
                    TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90.
RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...DALE IZATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110721.SHEEP.01/UNR