FNUS75 KABQ 230427
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAS CONCHAS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1027 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
RADAR IMAGERY AT 2215L THIS EVENING DEPICTS A SMALL CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS THAT NARROWLY MISSED THE SOUTHWEST BORDER OF THE BURN
AS IT PASSED TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. THUS...GUSTY OUTFLOW WIND WILL
PROBABLY AFFECT SOUTHERN AREAS UNTIL AROUND 2300L. ENOUGH MOISTURE
AND THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT
TO POTENTIALLY CAUSE MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO FORM.  HOWEVER...
INSUFFICIENT INSTABILITY EXISTS FOR OVERNIGHT RAINS TO BE MORE
THAN MODERATE.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AGAIN
ON SATURDAY BY THE AFTERNOON. STORMS SHOULD DRIFT SLOWLY FROM THE
HIGHEST TERRAIN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. A MID LEVEL AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER NW NEW MEXICO ON SATURDAY...SO THE
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE LESS THAN WHAT
WAS OBSERVED TODAY.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......VARYING FROM 10 PERCENT NORTH TO 30 PERCENT
                       SOUTH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN AROUND 10 PERCENT
                       AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50-65.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 57-83 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECOMING
                       MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......IN THE MORNING...10 PERCENT BELOW 7500 FEET
                       AND 20 PERCENT ABOVE 7500 FEET. IN THE
                       AFTERNOON...20 TO 40 PERCENT FAVORING THE
                       HIGHEST ELEVATIONS AND LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST
                       OF THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-95.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 20-43 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM PHILLIPS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110722.LASCO.01/ABQ