FNUS75 KBOU 221946 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SAR ON LONGS LAM SLIDE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 146 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN COLORADO. A LEE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR THROUGH TONIGHT...CAUSING GUSTY WEST WINDS OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS. ALTHOUGH NO SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUILDUPS WILL DEVELOP. WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CLOUDS. EVENING CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR AS CUMULUS BUILDUPS DIMINISH WITH SUNSET. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60. MIN HUMIDITY........26-34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39. MAX HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH... DECREASING TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62. MIN HUMIDITY........17-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SAR ONLONGSLAM SLIDE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/22-13 7 0 0 57 32 W10 16 5 1 SW28 7648 W18 121140 V 07/22-14 7 0 0 58 31 W10 17 4 1 W26 8002 W18 132305 V 07/22-15 7 3 1 58 30 W12 18 4 1 W25 8355 W20 143470 V 07/22-16 7 3 1 56 33 W13 20 4 1 W25 6762 W20 114013 V 07/22-17 7 3 1 54 38 W13 21 4 1 SW24 5168 W18 84557 G 07/22-18 49 5 1 56 36 W14 22 4 1 SW24 3574 W17 55100 F 07/22-19 49 5 1 55 39 W15 24 4 1 SW23 2470 W18 38176 P 07/22-20 49 5 1 52 43 W16 26 5 1 SW22 1367 W18 21251 P 07/22-21 49 5 1 49 48 W17 28 5 1 SW21 264 W18 4327 P 07/22-22 24 0 0 47 52 W17 29 5 1 SW21 232 W18 3802 P 07/22-23 24 0 0 46 54 W18 29 6 1 SW20 199 W18 3277 P 07/23-00 24 0 0 44 57 W18 30 6 1 W20 167 W18 2751 P 07/23-01 9 0 0 43 59 W20 31 6 1 W18 161 W20 2722 P 07/23-02 9 0 0 42 60 W21 32 6 1 W17 155 W20 2692 P 07/23-03 9 0 0 41 58 W21 33 6 1 W16 148 W21 2662 P 07/23-04 9 0 0 40 51 W20 32 6 1 W15 152 W18 2448 P 07/23-05 9 0 0 40 42 W18 30 6 1 W15 156 W16 2233 P 07/23-06 7 0 0 39 39 W17 28 6 1 W14 160 W15 2018 P 07/23-07 7 0 0 40 40 W16 25 6 1 W14 393 W14 4166 P 07/23-08 7 0 0 44 37 W14 22 6 1 W15 626 W13 6315 P 07/23-09 7 0 0 50 32 W13 21 6 1 W16 860 W12 8463 P 07/23-10 7 0 0 52 28 W13 21 6 1 W17 3591 W10 30339 P 07/23-11 7 0 0 55 23 W13 21 5 1 SW18 6322 W10 52216 F 07/23-12 42 0 0 58 19 W13 21 5 1 SW20 9054 W 9 74092 G 07/23-13 42 0 0 59 19 W12 17 5 1 SW22 9388 W 9 77350 G 07/23-14 42 0 0 59 19 W 9 14 4 1 SW23 9723 W 9 80607 G 07/23-15 42 8 2 60 19 W 7 7 4 1 SW25 10057 W 9 83864 G 07/23-16 42 8 2 58 21 W 6 6 4 1 SW28 9202 W 9 75722 G 07/23-17 42 8 2 55 23 W 5 5 5 1 W29 8348 W 9 67580 G 07/23-18 50 5 1 54 25 W 3 3 5 1 SW33 7892 SW 8 58221 F 07/23-19 50 5 1 54 26 SW 2 2 5 1 SW35 5349 SW 7 39001 P 07/23-20 50 5 1 50 31 SE 2 2 4 1 SW36 2806 S 5 19780 P 07/23-21 50 5 1 47 35 E 2 2 4 1 SW37 262 SE 2 559 P 07/23-22 50 5 1 46 36 E 5 5 4 1 SW37 251 SE 5 954 P 07/23-23 50 5 1 45 37 SE 7 7 4 1 W36 240 SE 7 1349 P 07/24-00 18 0 0 44 37 SE 9 14 4 1 W35 229 SE 9 1745 P 07/24-01 18 0 0 44 38 SE10 15 4 1 W35 227 SE 9 1708 P 07/24-02 18 0 0 43 42 SE10 16 4 1 W32 225 SE 8 1672 P 07/24-03 18 0 0 43 45 SE10 16 4 1 W31 224 SE 8 1635 P 07/24-04 18 0 0 43 48 SE10 15 4 1 W26 218 SE 8 1505 P 07/24-05 39 0 0 42 52 S 9 15 4 1 SW23 212 S 7 1376 P 07/24-06 39 0 0 42 56 S 9 14 4 1 SW18 206 S 7 1246 P 07/24-07 39 0 0 42 58 S 9 9 4 1 SW17 906 S 7 5710 P 07/24-08 39 0 0 45 53 S 8 8 4 1 SW16 1606 S 7 10173 P 07/24-09 43 0 0 50 45 S 8 8 4 1 SW16 2306 SW 7 14637 P 07/24-10 43 0 0 54 41 S 8 8 4 1 SW17 4994 SW 8 41923 F 07/24-11 43 0 0 55 39 SW 9 9 4 1 SW18 7681 SW 9 69209 G 07/24-12 70 30 9 58 37 SW 9 14 4 4 SW21 10369 SW10 96496 G 07/24-13 70 30 9 58 38 SW 9 14 4 4 SW22 9734 SW10 87439 G 07/24-14 70 30 9 59 39 SW 9 14 4 4 W23 9099 SW10 78382 G 07/24-15 70 30 9 59 40 SW 9 14 4 4 W24 8464 W 9 69324 G 07/24-16 70 30 9 57 43 SW 9 9 4 4 W25 6022 SW 8 47886 F 07/24-17 70 30 9 55 48 SW 9 9 4 4 W25 3580 S 7 26448 P 07/24-18 61 25 5 54 51 SW 8 8 4 4 W24 1138 S 5 5010 P 07/24-19 61 25 5 53 51 SW 7 7 4 4 W23 834 S 5 3672 P 07/24-20 61 25 5 50 57 S 6 6 4 4 W22 531 S 5 2334 P 07/24-21 61 25 5 47 62 S 5 5 4 4 W20 227 S 5 997 P 07/24-22 61 25 5 46 63 S 5 5 4 4 W18 212 S 5 948 P 07/24-23 61 25 5 45 63 S 5 5 4 4 W16 198 S 6 900 P 07/25-00 30 5 1 45 62 SW 6 6 4 1 W14 183 S 6 852 P 07/25-01 30 5 1 45 60 SW 7 7 4 1 W14 184 SW 6 908 P 07/25-02 30 5 1 43 61 SW 7 7 4 1 W13 185 SW 6 965 P 07/25-03 30 5 1 43 60 SW 8 8 4 1 W13 186 SW 6 1021 P 07/25-04 30 5 1 43 59 W 8 8 4 1 W12 188 SW 7 1070 P 07/25-05 30 5 1 43 59 W 8 8 5 1 W12 189 W 7 1119 P 07/25-06 47 2 0 42 60 W 8 8 5 1 W10 191 W 7 1168 P 07/25-07 47 2 0 43 60 W 7 7 5 1 W10 367 W 7 2001 P 07/25-08 47 2 0 46 55 W 6 6 5 1 W 9 542 W 6 2835 P 07/25-09 47 2 0 51 46 W 5 5 5 1 W 9 718 W 6 3668 P 07/25-10 47 2 0 55 42 SW 3 3 5 1 W10 3440 W 8 33976 P 07/25-11 47 2 0 57 40 SW 2 2 4 1 W13 6162 W10 64284 G 07/25-12 71 26 6 59 37 SW 2 2 4 4 W14 8884 W13 94592 G 07/25-13 71 26 6 59 37 SW 2 2 4 4 W15 9126 W12 93785 G 07/25-14 71 26 6 60 36 SW 2 2 4 4 W16 9368 W12 92977 G 07/25-15 71 26 6 60 35 W 3 3 4 4 W17 9610 W12 92170 G 07/25-16 71 26 6 58 39 W 5 5 4 4 W16 7265 W10 67037 G 07/25-17 71 26 6 56 45 W 5 5 4 4 W15 4919 W 9 41904 F 07/25-18 69 30 9 54 50 W 6 6 4 4 W14 2574 W 8 16771 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MARK PITA REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110722.SARON.01/BOU