FNUS74 KEPZ 221327
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RED FIRE...NMLNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
727 AM MDT FRI JUL 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0659 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST UNSTABLE AIR WILL ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S WILL FLOW INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN
TEXAS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS PATTERN WILL INCREASE IN
AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO THE WEEKEND AND WILL GENERATE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND ALSO GENERATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS AND LOW AREA FLOODING.. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE AFTER MONDAY BUT THERE SHOULD STILL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL
MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TODAY BUT THEN COOL BACK
TO NEAR NORMAL THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS WE SEE MORE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER RH LEVELS AND MORE CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA.
THE HAINES INDEX SHOULD BE IN THE 3 CATEGORY TODAY AND SATURDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 0-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS. GOOD.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 KNOTS.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500-11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS. GOOD.


$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110722.REDFI.01/EPZ