FNUS72 KILM 222254 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR HORNET FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 654 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1837 EDT ON JULY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... .DISCUSSION... WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO WILL BE NORTHEAST DUE TO OUTFLOWS FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AS THE MEAN ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS BECOME DOMINANT. A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AT AROUND 20 KNOTS AT 1000 FT AGL AND PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK. EXCESSIVE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG RIDGE REMAINS ENTRENCHED. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH 8 PM...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5. MAX ADI.............57. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............19 25 18 12 8 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 86 85 83 82 82 RH..................67 67 71 75 81 85 20 FT WIND..........NE 6 S 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 10 10 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 ADI.................57 29 15 15 13 11 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............62. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............11 8 16 27 36 37 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................82 82 88 93 94 95 RH..................86 82 70 60 57 56 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............4 4 3 2 1 1 ADI.................9 14 22 19 59 54 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............68. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............40 41 37 32 28 30 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................92 87 84 82 81 80 RH..................60 68 73 76 78 81 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 ADI.................68 26 12 13 14 12 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 20 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............77. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............33 35 37 41 43 45 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................79 82 87 93 95 95 RH..................86 80 66 55 52 53 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 ADI.................12 53 47 70 62 77 $$ FORECASTER...WEISS REQUESTED BY...DARRYL JONES TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110722.HORNE.01/ILM