FNUS72 KILM 221857 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 257 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1440 EDT ON JULY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY... .DISCUSSION... A PERSISTENTLY HOT WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN BLADEN COUNTY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXCESSIVE HEAT WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ABOVE 100 AND NIGHTTIME LOWS NEAR 80 WILL CONTINUE. LOW LEVEL JETS WITH 1000 FT WINDS 25-30 MPH AT NIGHT WILL HELP KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE WELL MIXED WITH MAXIMUM NIGHTTIME LVORIS ONLY REACHING 4. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS COULD BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE SMALL AREAS THEY WILL AFFECT. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............48. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............58 53 42 29 14 17 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................98 92 87 83 81 80 RH..................45 57 69 78 82 84 20 FT WIND..........SW 8 S 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 14 12 10 10 8 LVORI...............1 2 3 4 4 4 ADI.................48 28 19 14 8 7 LAL.................2 2 1 1 1 1 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............68. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 11 21 37 48 49 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP................80 82 91 97 99 99 RH..................84 82 57 46 42 43 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....9 11 12 12 12 14 LVORI...............4 4 1 1 1 1 ADI.................7 11 37 31 68 35 LAL.................1 1 1 1 2 2 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EARLY. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............58. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............49 49 46 41 37 39 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................96 90 86 84 82 81 RH..................50 63 70 75 78 81 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 10 LVORI...............1 2 4 4 4 4 ADI.................58 26 0 5 0 11 LAL.................2 1 1 1 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL BY MID-AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH. MAX LVORI...........4. MAX ADI.............52. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............42 44 46 49 52 51 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TEMP................80 83 90 97 99 99 RH..................84 76 61 49 46 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 9 11 12 13 13 LVORI...............4 3 2 2 1 2 ADI.................10 46 16 30 52 24 LAL.................1 1 1 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...ARMSTRONG REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110722.SIMMO.01/ILM