FNUS72 KMFL 221112 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR C-49 RX...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 712 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY WITH A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE FIRE SITE EARLY THIS MORNING. A SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST BY LATE THIS MORNING AND SLOWLY PUSH INLAND AND REACH NORTHERN COLLIER COUNTY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL RESULT IN THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO BECOME SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH. IN ADDITION, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THUS THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH THE BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND SOME GUSTY WINDS. DUE TO THE LIGHT WIND FLOW, DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR TO FAIR THROUGH THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 21 EARLY IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM SKY (%).........50 70 70 70 70 70 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE TEMP............82 90 94 93 89 83 RH..............77 60 51 52 61 74 20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 5 SW 6 SW 6 S 5 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3 S 5 SW 6 SW 6 S 5 SE 2 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 15 15 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 4500 5000 5000 4500 2400 MIXNG WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 2 DISPERSION IDX..17 24 24 24 17 1 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 40 LAL.............2 2 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....17 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............10. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 32. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...JAY MICKEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110722.C49RX.01/MFL